WHAT 5 WHYS IS FOR_
Start with a specific problem and ask why it happened. Then ask why that condition existed. Continue until the chain reaches something operational, systemic or controllable enough to investigate and improve.
CAPYBARA RULE: “Five” is a prompt, not a quota. Stop at three if the chain is already well-supported and actionable. Continue past five if the next link still matters.
RUN IT AS A CAUSAL CHAIN_
CAPYBARA CASE #001_
The Missing Snacks case follows a simple chain:
The useful shift is from blaming a forgetful person to examining a process that depends on perfect memory. A possible countermeasure is a self-closing gate, but it should still be verified against the actual failure.
COMMON FAILURE MODES_
Stopping at a person
“Because Alex forgot” often describes the last human action, not the condition that made one lapse enough to create the problem. Ask what made the process fragile.
Turning every answer into a fact
If you cannot point to evidence, mark the link as an assumption. A clean-looking chain can still be fiction.
Jumping to the solution
A countermeasure is not proof of a cause. Keep the causal statement and the proposed fix separate.
Forcing one chain onto a multi-cause problem
If several plausible causes compete, move sideways into Fishbone first. Map the possibilities, then return to 5 Whys on the branch that deserves deeper investigation.
USE THE EVIDENCE LEDGER_
Useful evidence is not just “we all think this is what happened.” Record facts separately from assumptions, define tests for uncertain links, and record results. When a link cannot survive that separation, the chain needs work.
GOOD STOPPING QUESTION: If this condition changed, would the problem become less likely — and do we have evidence that the condition actually existed?